“The energy needed to refute BS is of an order of magnitude greater than the effort needed to produce the BS in the first place. ”
Brandolini’s law
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Advances which permit this norm to be exceeded -- here and there, now and then -- are the work of an extremely small minority, frequently despised, often condemned, and almost always opposed by all right-thinking people. Whenever this tiny minority is kept from creating, or (as sometimes happens) is driven out of a society, the people then slip back into abject poverty. This is known as "bad luck." -- Robert A. Heinlein
On the North River 
It’s an absolute certainty that both Japan and Taiwan have everything needed to make nuclear warheads. Which is why China huffs and puffs but doesn’t actually attack.
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Most likely true. And the Japanese/Taiwan nukes will work reliably.
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