Hyped or Real Threat?

‘This time I’m scared’: experts fear too late for China virus lockdown

China’s bid to contain a deadly new virus by placing cities of millions under quarantine is an unprecedented undertaking but it is unlikely to stop the disease spreading, experts warn.

The contagious virus has already reached elsewhere in China and abroad, and even an authoritarian government has only a small timeframe in which trapped residents will submit to such a lockdown, they say.

“I think we have passed the golden period of control and prevention,” said Guan Yi, an expert on viruses at Hong Kong University.

Plus: A scientist at Johns Hopkins last year modeled what would happen if a deadly coronavirus reached a pandemic scale. His simulated scenario predicted that 65 million people could die within 18 months.

Plus:Viral Pandemic Starts in Chinese City (Wuhan) with Research Lab for ‘World’s Most Dangerous‘ Pathogens.

The Chinese New Year is this weekend, how many of the celebrants have traveled to destinations outside of China, before the lock-downs and airport screenings started?

My rough estimate of the numbers of cases and the resulting fatalities indicate a 10-15% death rate.  Presumably less in countries with better health care systems, i.e. The USA.

Might want to think twice about accepting an invitation to any Chinese New Year parties this weekend.  Hopefully this is another “Swine Flu” scare, but only time will tell.

 

About On the North River

Forty years toiled in the Tel-com industry, married for 36 years widowed at sixty-one. New girlfriend at sixty-five. Tea Party supporter. Today a follower of the God-Emperor Donald. Do like to kayak, cook, take photos, bike, watch old movies and read.
This entry was posted in 2020, All the News not fit to print., China, On the Ebola River, Yellow Peril. Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Hyped or Real Threat?

  1. djbarrus says:

    The pneumonia-like virus has been traced to a seafood and animal market in Wuhan.

    Like

Leave a Reply but please keep it Legal.

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s